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Friday, April 27, 2012

$SPX: 5 days,5min chart. EW count and forecast.



Maybe a last push to 1,410.

$SPX: EW count and forecast.



Maybe a diagonal ending for wave 5 (green). Our principal count is for a wave b of 4. 

$BAC: EW count and forecast.



This wave 4 of BAC is trending up. Target: 8.50


Wave 4 was put in place at 8.40 at the 38.2% retracement.


$AAPL: EW count and forecast.



This wave 4 is trending down. target 595.

Thursday, April 26, 2012

$SPX: Our forecast from 04.20 and 04.25 and how they are correct, because our shaking theory.


On Friday 20, we post that there was, maybe one last push up to 1,400 area and on Wednesday 25 we post with the real EW count. Both were in the right direction and are correct. So, where is the problem?. The problem is in "how market shake all the participants" and, of course, we are included. Below, is also our post from Thursday 19, and how we fail, because, with so much shake, we think there was one more shake to the upside but the market start it's downfall, but,primary, we were forecasting a downfall, but the problem is:"this one or the next shake".

Todays case is at the inverse, because we are forecasting a downfall, but "this one or the next shake" and we play down, with the past experience, but market has one more shake to the upside. 

We confirm our forecast that, when this shaking ends, very, but very soon, the markets will downfall.



Wednesday, April 25, 2012


$SPX: This is the real EW count and forecast??



Friday, April 20, 2012


$SPX: EW and forecast. Maybe one last push up to 1,400 area?



Thursday, April 19, 2012

$SPX: 8 shakes and counting. Where do market go at last?



We are firmly believers of market shaking to confuse the most participants it can.



12:09 ET

We are not counting waves now. We are counting shakes. Maybe shake 9, in place and up we go.



15:30 ET

This is a perfect example of how market shake out the participants. Us, who where saying that market goes down, and we maintain that position, think, for a moment, that market was going up. Wrong!!


$SPX: More than more though EW count and forecast.



We have here a double bear flag. We think the fall is going to be very soon.

$SPX: 2 days, 1 min chart. More than tough EW count and forecast




This is a more than tough count as that we think before. Market is shaking to all participants as we posted on April 19, before the fall. Inclusive we where shaked and wrong in the last shake.



$SPX: 2 days, 1 min chart. Tough EW count and forecast.



This wave 5 (brown) isn't precisely an ending diagonal, it's an ending parallel.

$SPX: 1,392.80 target call from monday, is in place?





Yesterday we ask: "target reached?", the answer is no, maybe today is getting reached.


Monday, April 23, 2012

$SPX: EW count and forecast relabel.



Reallity has told us that our last count was wrong. Above is an alternative count with an upper target at 1,392.80 for wave 2. It could be another alternative, more bullish, if this fails.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

$SPX: This is the real EW count and forecast??



We think, that,maybe, the chart, above has "the EW count". Why?, because what happens on october 2011 is so,so similar, that, maybe this can be. This waves are, always, very though to count. 
What we haven't draw is that, wave a (blue) can be, alternative, wave 4,green, with a target of 1,330 and then "the last bear rally of this year so intermediate wave B (red in other post) could be in place and then....checkout my latest post with the "big picture". Cheers!



$SPX: Alternative count and forecast.



This alternative count is more bullish, in the short term (10 days or so). Both counts are bearish in a bigger time term ,with a target of 1,290, as we have target some days ago.

$SPX: EW count and forecast. 1,392 target reached?






Price is near our target from monday: 1,392.80. 



Monday, April 23, 2012

$SPX: EW count and forecast relabel.



Reallity has told us that our last count was wrong. Above is an alternative count with an upper target at 1,392.80 for wave 2. It could be another alternative, more bullish, if this fails.

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

$BAC: EW count and forecast.





Yesterday we post our EW count and forecast of BAC. Today has worked as expected but, we are naming as alternative count and, now, our principal count is more bullish, because is considering that, wave c (blue) is in place and so wave b (brown) is in place and now is wave c (brown) in play. The target of these wave can go, inclusive, up to 12. This afternoon we feel more bullish.






Monday, April 23, 2012

BAC: EW count and forecast.


Red wave 4 in place?


16:00 ET

Wave a and b are in place and, maybe, tomorrow a little rally to 8.56 to get wave c and wave 4 (green) in place.


$SPX: EW count and forecast relabel.



Reallity has told us that our last count was wrong. Above is an alternative count with an upper target at 1,392.80 for wave 2. It could be another alternative, more bullish, if this fails.

$SPX: EW count and forecast. 1,370 target reached.



If our count is right, price should continue to next stop at 1,330 and last stop at 1,290.

This count was wrong. New relabel count in another post. 

Monday, April 23, 2012

BAC: EW count and forecast.


Red wave 4 in place?


16:00 ET

Wave a and b are in place and, maybe, tomorrow a little rally to 8.56 to get wave c and wave 4 (green) in place.




$SPX: 5 days, 5 min chart. EW count and forecast



Probably target for silver wave 4: 1,370



16:00 ET


Probably, tomorrow little push to 1,370 and then continue the downfall.


$SPX: Reposting our April 17, post. Target of 1,330 on it's way.


Tuesday, April 17, 2012

$SPX: Bear flag, 60 min chart.Confirms 1,330 target.



We don't use, usually, this tipe of chart figures, but it can confirm our target of 1,330, by other methods.



$SPX: EW count and forecast. Update.



Watching $ES_F overnight, price movement. This is an relabeled count. Grey wave 3 of gold wave 5 in play.

Sunday, April 22, 2012

$GLD: 10 years, weekly chart. EW count and forecast. Update.



This is an update of our forecast from some months ago. So far so well. Target for wave 4 continues at 126.11

$AMZN: All time, monthly chart. EW count and forecast.



This is our first EW count and forecast of AMZN. It looks like other charts, facing down in the next months, as an intermediate wave 4 and then a push up. The medium term target (wave 4,blue) is at 137.12

$EURUSD: All time, monthly chart. EW count and forecast.



Yesterday we post our 1 year, daily chart. This chart will help you to understand better our EW count. 
As you can see, the area in-between 2008 and now is a very difficult area to count because there are some count alternatives that respect the 3 Elliot rules. We are trying to investigate some other that could help us in this kind of messy movements.

Saturday, April 21, 2012

$EURUSD: EW count and forecast. Maybe to the 1.36 area?


$BAC: EW count and forecast. short, medium and long term pictures.




40 years,monthly chart.



10 years,weekly chart



60 days,60 min chart


We have been forecasting BAC and C since last months of 2011. Both have the same long and medium picture showing a big cycle wave 1 (black) put in place on 2007 and a big cycle wave 2 (black) in play. Both, BAC & C show primarys waves a and b (red) in place and primary wave c in play and it seems as minors waves (green) 1 to 4 of primary wave c of cycle wave 2 are in place and now, minor wave 5 is in play. Maybe, minute wave 1 of minor wave 5 is in place and next days minute wave 2,up, will be in play. Probable target area: 9.5-10. 

The most difficult area of our EW count is TIMMING and try to catch the exact moment when some wave is in place is really,really difficult so, our charts show the pictures and you take your own decisions. Cheers!

Friday, April 20, 2012

$AAPL: Our forecast, how are they doing and the 10 min,daily and weekly charts with EW count forecast,today.




$AAPL: 10 min chart



$AAPL: 1 year, daily chart



$AAPL: 10 year, weekly chart

We are trying to make a recap of our last days calls and which are the short, medium and long term pictures, today. For that reason, you can find our calls,below, and the pictures, today, above.

Things are developing as forecast and we expect that the orange wave 4 (first was blue) will be in place at the 500 area, as you can see in the daily and weekly charts. After that wave 4, orange, we expect a rally and then.....(please se the above charts)

In the, very near term we have posted, first above, a 10 min chart and we expect a rally, next days up to 610 area as a little wave 2,up. We have forecast this, yesterday and today.

Tuesday, April 17, 2012


$AAPL: EW count and forecast.



Early today, we where figuring that, maybe, wave 4 ( orange) could be in place, but, now, we stick to our primary count with a probable target for wave 4 (orange) of 520/504.

Tuesday, April 10, 2012


$AAPL: All time, monthly chart. EW count and forecast.


Update of my correction theory.

$SPX: EW and forecast. Maybe one last push up to 1,400 area?


$AAPL: Our early post continue in play. Wave b can retrace to 571 and then wave c,up.



Our target for wave b is 574.


$AAPL: 10 days 10 min chart. EW count and forecast. Bullish or very bullish

$BAC: EW count and forecast. Bullish for the near term.


$SPX: EW count and forecast.Updated from yesterday EOD







Thursday, April 19, 2012

$AAPL: 10 days 10 min chart. EW count and forecast. Bullish or very bullish


Thursday, April 19, 2012

$SPX: EOD EW count and forecast.


$AAPL: Carefully EW count and forecast.



This is negated. We are wrong with so much shake that we,that are saying that market is going down, think that market is going up, for a moment.

$AAPL:EW count and forecast.Don't surprise next:610


$SPX: 8 shakes and counting. Where do market go at last?



We are firmly believers of market shaking to confuse the most participants it can.



12:09 ET

We are not counting waves now. We are counting shakes. Maybe shake 9, in place and up we go.



15:30 ET

This is a perfect example of how market shake out the participants. Us, who where saying that market goes down, and we maintain that position, think, for a moment, that market was going up. Wrong!!



$SPX: 2 days,2 min charts. EW count and forecast. Wave 3 down,soon?



Market is shaking bulls and bears so "all participants,as always" could be wrong, as our TA masters teach us.



11:45 ET.Update.

$SPX: 60 days,60 min chart. EW count. We mantain our 1,330 forecast,for this leg down.



As we have forecast, some days ago, our final stop for the complete retracement should be 1,290 and 1,330 will, maybe, be a leg more.

Wednesday, April 18, 2012

$SPX: 2 days,2 min chart. EW count relabel. Forecast is the same.



The last hours EW count, has need a more closely look. This is the count with which we feel better.




15:35 ET. 

Seems wave b is in place.Maybe the EOD will be bullish with a strong resistance at 1,392.76



EOD

Nop, wave 2 was in place and now,down...